Birds & Climate Change in Our National Parks
Grand Canyon National Park
Acadia National Park Arches National Park Badlands National Park Big Bend National Park Biscayne National Park Black Canyon of the Gunnison National Park Bryce Canyon National Park Canyonlands National Park Capitol Reef National Park Carlsbad Caverns National Park Channel Islands National Park Congaree National Park Crater Lake National Park Cuyahoga Valley National Park Death Valley National Park Denali National Park and Preserve Everglades National Park Gates of the Arctic National Park and Preserve Glacier Bay National Park and Preserve Glacier National Park Grand Canyon National Park Grand Teton National Park Great Basin National Park Great Sand Dunes National Park and Preserve Great Smoky Mountains National Park Guadalupe Mountains National Park Hot Springs National Park Isle Royale National Park Joshua Tree National Park Katmai National Park and Preserve Kenai Fjords National Park Kobuk Valley National Park Lake Clark National Park and Preserve Lassen Volcanic National Park Mammoth Cave National Park Mesa Verde National Park Mount Rainier National Park North Cascades National Park Olympic National Park Petrified Forest National Park Pinnacles National Park Redwood National Park Rocky Mountain National Park Saguaro National Park Sequoia and Kings Canyon National Parks Shenandoah National Park Theodore Roosevelt National Park Voyageurs National Park Wind Cave National Park Wrangell-St. Elias National Park and Preserve Yellowstone National Park Yosemite National Park Zion National Park
By 2050, visitors might find a novel combination of raptors soaring over Arizona's Grand Canyon National Park, a raptor corridor and global Important Bird Area. The White-tailed Kite, Gray Hawk, and Harris's Hawk may colonize the park. Golden and Bald Eagles, however, are expected to decline, with the latter possibly going locally extinct. The park’s pinyon and ponderosa forests could also be stressed by warming and drying conditions, threatening specialist birds like the Pinyon Jay and Pygmy Nuthatch. Much will depend on the continued flows of the Colorado River, where Bald Eagles congregate and hunt, and how that waterway continues to be managed.
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  • winter

  • Number of Current Species i Bird species with suitable climate in park today

    0

  • Potential Colonizations i Bird species with new suitable climate in park by 2050

    0

  • Potential Extirpations i Bird species with no suitable climate in park by 2050

    0

Suitable climate for these species is currently available in the park. This list is derived from National Park Service Inventory & Monitoring data and eBird observations. Note, however, there are still imperfections in these datasets.

These are species that may find the new climate conditions of this park suitable by 2050. But projected changes in climate suitability are not definitive predictions of future species ranges or abundances. Numerous other factors affect where species occur, including habitat quality, food abundance, species adaptability, and the availability of microclimates.

Within this park, suitable climate for these birds ceases to occur by 2050. Species may either adapt to the park’s new climate or may follow suitable climate elsewhere.

Suitable climate for these species is currently available in the park. This list is derived from National Park Service Inventory & Monitoring data and eBird observations. Note, however, there are still imperfections in these datasets.

These are species that may find the new climate conditions of this park suitable by 2050. But projected changes in climate suitability are not definitive predictions of future species ranges. Numerous other factors affect where species occur, including habitat quality, food abundance, species adaptability, and the availability of microclimates.

Within this park, suitable climate for these birds ceases to occur by 2050. Species may either adapt to the park’s new climate or may follow suitable climate elsewhere.

This Park in Context

The extent of turnover, potential colonization, and potential extirpation varies among the 53 national parks featured on this website. Below, see how this park compares to others in summer and winter. Click on a circle to explore results for another park.

  • Summer
  • Winter